See also: http://www.un.org/en/development/index.shtml
UNIDO (United Nations Industrial Development Organization) http://business.un.org/en/entities/31 http://www.unido.org/
CHEAPER
GASOLINE
BOILERS CAUSE 2/3 OF ALL GLOBAL WARMING
Boilers Cause 2/3 of ALL Global Warming
The Machines That Make Over 60% of ALL Global Warming
Global Warming causes climates to change. So the author will continue to use the term "Global Warming" even though the United Nations calls their organization for ending "Global Warming" the "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change."
How much will this contribute to ending Global Warming emissions? Electricity is the key to solving climate challenge .pdf
Contents
of this page
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
Global Warming's boiler roots.
The diagram below shows the world's carbon flows into and out of the atmosphere as carbon dioxide in metric billions of tonnes (a tonne is 1,000 kilograms or 2,200 pounds). As you can see, vegetation on land and the ocean's water naturally remove some of the carbon dioxide. As you can also see, man's ability to add carbon dioxide to the air is overwhelming nature's ability to remove it, leaving an accumulating excess in the air of about 12 billion tonnes per year. It is estimated that since man first began to overwhelm nature's ability to remove all of man's CO2 from the air about 1 trillion tonnes of extra CO2 have accumulated.
The stacked bar chart on the right
shows man's major CO2
sources (the fossil fuels) and how nature is dealing with it (CO2
sinks). The author got the coal, natural gas, and oil
How CO2 changes the air:
The upper curve (below left) shows what adding increasing amounts of CO2 to the air does to the air's ability to allow heat to pass through it. "Radiative Heat Flux, in Watts per square meter" think of a heat lamp (the sun) shining on a area about the size of a card table on spherical Planet Earth. Planet Earth's surface has about 510 trillion square meters. With no CO2 in the air, 250 watts of heat will pass from the earth's surface into the extreme cold of space, thereby cooling Planet Earth. It is thought that with no CO2 at all in the atmosphere, Planet Earth's average temperature would be about zero degrees Fahrenheit.
With a CO2
concentration of about 300 parts per million, the air acts like a thicker
blanket, allowing only about 230 watts of heat to pass through and Planet
Earth's average temperature is just right for growing lots of food and living a
good life. As you can see from the CO2
chart made by Oak Ridge National Laboratory, we are now approaching about 400
parts of CO2
per million parts of air and the air is now holding in a spherical average
of about two more watts of heat per square meter than it did before Global
Warming began. That averages out to Planet Earth retaining about 1 quadrillion
(1015) additional watts of thermal energy.
(Left) What trace amounts of Carbon Dioxide does to air:
(Above) Coal, the first fossil fuel, came into common use about 1750. As use increased, the concentration of carbon dioxide produced by burning fossil fuel increased. Oil came into common use about 1900, further increasing the speed at which carbon dioxide accumulated in the air. Natural Gas has recently become popular as a source of heat, accelerating Global Warming even more.
(Right) The folks at www.350.org are promising we can get below 350 ppm.
How?
They don't have a clue beyond swapping light bulbs.
Most experts are saying we'll be at 550 ppm by 2050.
The effects of Global Warming:
This web article is a good place to get a quick overview of the generally agreed-upon effects of Global Warming.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_global_warming
We will never stop Global Warming
because there are over a trillion tons of excess man-made CO2
in the air already and mankind will never stop burning fossil fuels completely.
Even if we could end all Global Warming fires tomorrow, the effects of Global Warming would hang around for hundreds of years because, as the "Sources and Sinks" chart shows, nature can remove only about 10 billion tons of excess CO2 per year and stash it away in the ground.
(Right) IPCC diagram showing what would happen if we could reduce Global Warming by various amounts. "1.0" represents where we are today. Notice you have to end about 75% of Global Warming just to "Flat Line."
Notice also Global Warming is now
increasing much more rapidly
(Diagram from IPCC "Q&A" web site.)
The best we can do is to take a big a bite out of Global Warming to blunt its effects.
_______________________________________________________________________
Blunting Global Warming.
Where most Global Warming is coming from.
Boiler-driven machines make 2/3 of ALL Global Warming
The "CO2 Sources and Sinks" diagram from the "Global Warming Today" page is repeated here with another diagram that shows the "Sources" matched up with the "Fossil Fuel Emitter" machines that make and emit the CO2.
Most of coal, natural gas, and a little oil is used to heat boilers.
Most of oil is used to power vehicles with a little being used as feedstock for plastics and fertilizers.
Deforestation is associated with wood harvesting and "slash and burn" agriculture.
The important thing to notice is that much of fossil fuel boiler heating is for making electricity..
Fossil fuel boilers can be replaced by nuclear fuel boilers of about the same physical size. And, since nuclear heat is 1/3 to 1/20th as expensive as fossil heat, nuclear heat as a general source of heat may prove to be far less expensive in the long run.
Where does most Global Warming come from?
Where are we burning most of our fossil fuels? We are burning 2/3 of our fossil fuels in boilers.
What fossil fuels
are we burning in our boilers?
Almost all Coal and
Natural Gas.
Source:
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/energyexplained/index.cfm?page=environment_where_ghg_come_from
In the diagram below you can see how much heat is being used various sectors of the United States' population and, on the right, the carbon dioxide emissions that result from that use.
What this shows is that a
Transportation = 1,851
Electricity Generation = 2,147 (Does not
include hydro and renewables)
Industrial, commercial boilers, hot water heaters, furnaces combined =
1,407
All Boilers = 2,147 + 1,407 = 3,554
_______________________________________________________________________
What can we do about fossil fuel boilers?
Coal and natural gas boilers can be repowered with nuclear boilers.
The boilers that are making 2/3 of Global Warming's CO2
are STATIONARY coal and natural gas burning boilers.
STATIONARY coal and natural gas burning boilers can be replaced with STATIONARY
nuclear boilers.
(Right) North American stationary
sources of CO2.
Notice all the different kinds of stationary CO2 sources.
Most of these stationary CO2 sources can be repowered with the new small nuclear boilers. Hyperion, Toshiba, and NuScale's products come to mind.
This is the turf where the struggle for ending fossil fuels forever will occur.
Fossil
Fuel Boiler Awareness
Most coal and natural gas is burned in
boilers so most Global Warming could be considered to be happening in boilers.
Hidden away, largely forgotten, all over the world, perhaps a billion huge-to-tiny boilers, hot water heaters and furnaces are silently making most of the Global Warming CO2 that's overwhelming Nature. All day, every day.
Click on pictures for larger
images.
230 feet high, open-air for cooling, a pair of Babcock & Wilcox supersized coal burning power plant boilers. - Photo: B&W Brochure
50,000
Natural Gas
Burning Electricity Turbines make
about 4% of Global Warming's CO2
1 Million
Large
Industrial and Commercial Natural Gas Boilers
make about 4% of Global Warming's CO2
1 Billion
Small
Commercial Gas Boilers,
residential hot water heaters, and furnaces make about 4% of Global
Warming's CO2
Ocean-going ships, which could be nuclear powered, make about 4% of Global
Warming CO2.
Concrete production, which could be nuclear fired, about 3%.
EPA: The United States has 200,000 industrial boilers, heaters and incinerators. (US has about 20% of the world's boiler and heater infrastructure.)
Notes:
1. Boiler population numbers are 2005 world-wide counts or estimates.
2.
The advanced nuclear boiler that can replace supersized coal boilers - the
ORNL-TM-1060.
(Right) Classic American natural gas burning 800 horsepower industrial
boiler. Click on image to see a cutaway of this boiler - which is the same
concept as a classic steam locomotive fire-tube boiler.
- - Hurst Boiler & Welding
Hurst boiler brochure .pdf
(Above) a typical building complex boiler house. Click on images for larger view.
_______________________________________________________________________
Appended Earlier Web Page
CHEAPER GASOLINE
2% of the World's Power Plants
Produce 30% of ALL Global Warming
Part 2 66 different countries have these supersized
coal burning power plants. Who has how many?
I would not have been able to identify the world's 1,200 largest fossil fuel power plants if CARMA.org had not made their database available to energy researchers like myself. A heartfelt thanks to CARMA and all the other environmental and nuclear web sites that made this web site possible.
Supersized COAL BURNING power plants are the low hanging fruit.
Just like our winning "Island Hopping" strategy during WWII, Global Warming fighters can skip over most of the world's 60,000 power plants and focus on only the 1,200 bulk CO2 producers.
Connecting the CO
2 dots, discovering supersized power plants."At NRG Energy’s coal-fired electricity plant in Thompsons, Texas, a train from the Powder River Basin coal mines of Wyoming pulls in after a five-day trip from Wyoming, loaded with more than 16,000 tons of coal. It takes eight hours to unload the 130-car train, and then the next train pulls in.
This plant burns 35,000 tons of coal on a hot day to provide electricity to cool area homes. And bulldozers must constantly shift the coal stockpiled in a giant mound under the hot, noonday sun to prevent spontaneous combustion as it awaits its turn in the power plant's boiler furnace. Yet burning the coal to make electricity, transporting it 1,500 miles to the power plant and keeping it cool emits enormous amounts of carbon dioxide.
The US government estimates CO2 emissions from coal-fired electricity generation comprise nearly 80 per cent of total CO2 emissions produced by the generation of electricity in the US. Sixty to 80 per cent of coal is, in fact, carbon, making it an extremely carbon-intense fossil fuel. The Environmental Protection Agency has estimated the average US coal plant emits 5 million tons of CO2 each year. And there are 600 coal-fired electricity plants across the country."
Where you can find out about the world's power plants and the Global Warming they make.
http://www.platts.com/Products.aspx?xmlFile=worldelectricpowerplantsdatabase.xml
_______________________________________________________________________
Connecting the Global Warming dots.
Zeroing in on the world's "supersized" boiler population.
The web site, CARMA,
offers an on-line a database providing Global Warming
emissions information about the world's power plants.
The Excel plot of the world's largest 32,000 power plants [Excel can only plot 32,000 data entries at a time] is at right with the red line being power plants sorted by annual CO2 emissions. The author expected a normal CO2 emission distribution - values clustered toward the black line instead of the red line being crammed against the x and y axes.
The Results:
Instead, the world's power plant population (plot right) is an extreme example of the Pareto statistical principle (Teaching example: 20% of the population own 80% of the land.) (More:) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_principle
This is extreme beyond even normal distributions that include a few giants. In oil, for example, out of the world's 500 major oil fields, the top 20 fields (4%) produce only 25% of the world's total.
Of these power plants, The
CARMA database
Looking at CARMA's data in more detail we find that only about half of the 150,000 generating units are emitting carbon dioxide. The other half are small hydro and wind generators which tend to be small, 1 megaWatt or so, and produce no Global Warming CO2, while a few of the CO2 emitters tend to be extremely large coal burners, some as large as 750 megaWatts.
In fact, just the world's 50 largest power plants make almost 10% of ALL of coal's Global Warming CO2.
Knowing that the IPCC AR4 report attributed 11.7 billion short tons of CO2 to coal, and that CARMA attributed 11.4 billion short tons of CO2 to the world's 60,000 power plants, (most fossil fuel power plants burn coal), a check was made on how many power plants contributed 75% (8.6 billion short tons) of coal's 11.4 billion short tons of CO2.
That surprisingly small number was close to 1,200 or just 2% of the world's entire 60,000 power plant population.
Since IPCC AR4 states that 2007
Global Warming CO2 was 13.2 billion
short tons, t
Who Are The World's "Dirty Dozen" Power Plants?
Top-12 Highest CO2-Emitting Power Plants Worldwide
Plant
City Country Annual Tons of CO2
1 TAICHUNG Lung-Ching
Township Taiwan (China) 41,300,000
2 PORYONG Poryong-gun South
Korea 37,800,000
3 CASTLE PEAK Tuen Mun NT
China 35,800,000
4 REFTINSKAYA SDPP Reftinsky
Russia 33,000,000
5 TUOKETUO-1 Tuoketuo County
China 32,400,000
6 MAILIAO FP Mailiao Taiwan
(China) 32,400,000
7 VINDHYACHAL Sidhi Dist
India 29,000,000
8 HEKINAN Hekinan
Japan 28,900,000
9 KENDAL Witbank South
Africa 28,600,000
10 JANSCHWALDE Peitz
Germany 27,400,000
11 SURALAYA Serang - Merak
Indonesia 27,200,000
12 TANGJIN Tangjin-kun South
Korea 26,900,000
Total 380,700,000 tons CO2 Every year.
The sub-supersized power plants are almost innocent bystanders.
It's not that much more work to clean up a big CO2 producing power plant than it is to clean up a small, CO2-meaningless power plant.
Why aren't we just cleaning up power plants instead of fooling around with windmills, solar cells, and all this international governmental posturing about who's Cleaner and Greener?
How much
are the 1,200 supersizers contributing to Global Warming?Easy kills. The
BOTTOM LINE: Compare the left and right diagrams. The power plants have been broken into three groups: 1,200 supersized, 3,800 next largest fossil power plants, the remaining 25,000 smallest fossil plants.
Bright red depicts the 1,200 supersized coal power plants that are making 8.6 billions tons of CO2 or almost 30% of ALL Global Warming.
These supersized, mostly coal burning, power plants were built to compete with the supersized nuclear power plants that were not built when the environmentalists - led by GreenPeace and Sierra Club - managed to persuade the world in the 70s that coal was a better energy choice than nuclear.
So there you have it. The 2% we must repower to take the biggest possible big bite out of Global Warming.
_______________________________________________________________________
The world began to move toward a Global Warming-free future when the world began to build supersized nuclear electricity power plants. Tragically, anti-nuclear environmentalist organizations such as Sierra Club persuaded the world to build supersized coal-burning power plants instead. Supersized coal-burning power plants, now producing 3/4 of coal's CO2 in our air, led to much greater production of Global Warming CO2 than was necessary, exacerbating the Climate Change emergency now overwhelming us.
Just as these power plants
supersized Global Warming, repowering them with next-generation nuclear
boilers will supersize our impact on Global Warming.
16 Times Larger: Describing the 1,200 Supersize Power Plants by their CO
2 Emissions.
Largest
Average Smallest
The average supersized coal burning power plant produces 7.2 million tons of CO2 per year.
The average regular sized coal burning power plant produces 440 thousand tons of CO2 per year.
The average supersized is 16 times larger than the average regular sized power plant.
Cost to nuke isn't much larger for a supersized power plant than a regular sized plant.
From the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) point of view, small size reactors are defined as < 300 MWe and medium size reactors are defined as being between 300 MWe and 700 MWe.
A Supersized Power Plant Unit's Relative Electrical (megaWatt) Size.
(Right) How fossil fuel power plant sizes chased nuclear power plant sizes. How the coal-to-gas mix has changed.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/capacity/existingunits2003.xls
A power plant typically has four generating units. This scattergram shows the sizes of all United States individual generating units installed since 1890. Later units installed outside the United States will cluster toward larger.
They thin out noticeably above 300 megawatts so the author arbitrarily decided that individual units larger than this size would be considered "supersized" units. All nuclears fall into this category. Note line at 300 MegaWatts electric.
Checking out the largest supersized CO2 emitter in CARMA's
database,
Conclusion: Based on the scatter plot above, if we are to mass-produce only one size nuclear boiler to keep the cost low, the 1,000 MWe ORNL-TM-1060 nuclear boiler is none too big. Oversize can be limited to the basic tub. While same-sized steam generators could be used for every power plant, different sized, right-sized, steam generators, pumps, etc., shouldn't run the cost up because these items are cheap, thin, nearly unpressurized shells wrapped around cheap steam piping.
Global Warming would be the reason for doing it sooner. We could wait perhaps 50 years, then fossil fuel depletion will force us to shift to nuclear, which, with recycling, will provide mankind with as much heat as he wants forever.
There are over a billion sources of Global Warming emissions in the world. Most of the stationary sources are boilers. Combined, they make about 2/3 of all Global Warming.
The small power plants are so small they are practically innocent bystanders.
Then there are a few monsters, such as the Taichung coal burning power plant on Taiwan. Pumping over 40 million tons of CO2 into the air each year, Taichung is the world's largest single source of carbon dioxide. Taichung's management is acutely aware of this fact and are making a large effort to promote environmental projects. But this cannot alter the fact that if Taichung stops burning coal, a large part of Taiwan must go dark. Taiwan power is adding clean nuclear plants to their fleet but that alone won't cause Taiwan's energy mix to become clean. Building a windmill does not destroy the boiler next door.
Which countries have how many supersized coal burning power plants?
Connecting the dots which will identify those countries most likely to receive World Bank financing via the UN's Clean Development Mechanism if the IAEA agrees.
The author has extracted the
supersizers from CARMA's Excel Spreadsheets:
Supersized 1200 - Countries and Locations.xls For more info see:
http://carma.org/
Each individual supersized power plant is listed in this sub-database. Plant
name, owners, CO2
emissions, capacity, nearby city, state, country, latitude and longitude.
Countries in bold green, representing a total of 755 supersized coal burning power plants, out of the total of 1,200 supersized coal burning power plants, are not European Union or the United States and, as such, are not considered to be paralyzed by environmentalists advocating only renewables as a way of ending Global Warming. To a very large extent, these are the countries that represent the best hope for individuals concerned about actually ending Global Warming.
The ten developing countries with the largest CO2 emissions from electricity generation in 2005 were (in order of the magnitude of emissions) China, India, South Africa, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Iran, Indonesia, Kazakhstan and Thailand (IEA, 2007).
The total amount of emissions from electricity generation from the seven countries included (Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Kazakhstan were not included in the study.) in the study accounted for 75 percent of the total amount of emissions from electricity generation in all non-Annex I countries in 2005.
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) as a real option for CCS - How do we get there?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Development_Mechanism
Also: Kyoto Annex 1 Countries .pdf * Kyoto Non-Annex 1 Countries .pdf
Country | Developing | Developed |
Argentina * Developing Country | 1 | |
Australia | 22 | |
Austria | 1 | |
Azerbaijan Developing Country | 1 | |
Belarus Developing Country | 2 | |
Belgium | 4 | |
Bosnia-Herzegovina Developing Country | 1 | |
Brazil * Developing Country | 2 | |
Bulgaria Developing Country | 4 | |
Canada | 17 | |
Chile * Developing Country | 3 | |
China * Developing Country | 395 | |
Croatia Developing Country | 1 | |
Czech Republic | 7 | |
Denmark | 2 | |
Egypt * UNIDO Developing Country | 3 | |
Finland | 1 | |
France | 5 | |
Germany | 41 | |
Greece | 6 | |
Hungary Developing Country | 1 | |
India * UNIDO Developing Country | 64 | |
Indonesia * UNIDO Developing Country | 6 | |
Iran * UNIDO Developing Country | 11 | |
Iraq * Developing Country | 1 | |
Ireland | 1 | |
Israel * | 2 | |
Italy | 19 | |
Japan | 45 | |
Kazakhstan * Developing Country | 5 | |
Kuwait * Developing Country | 3 | |
Macedonia * Developing Country | 1 | |
Malaysia * Developing Country | 4 | |
Mexico * UNIDO Developing Country | 8 | |
Moldova Developing Country | 1 | |
Morocco UNIDO Developing Country | 2 | |
Netherlands | 6 | |
New Zealand | 1 | |
North Korea * | 1 | |
Pakistan * UNIDO Developing Country | 2 | |
Philippines * UNIDO Developing Country | 5 | |
Poland Developing Country | 14 | |
Portugal | 3 | |
Romania Developing Country | 4 | |
Russia | 56 | |
Saudi Arabia * Developing Country | 7 | |
Serbia * Developing Country | 3 | |
Singapore * | 3 | |
Slovakia | 1 | |
Slovenia | 1 | |
South Africa * UNIDO | 12 | |
South Korea | 14 | |
Spain | 17 | |
Syria * Developing Country | 1 | |
Taiwan (China) * | 10 | |
Thailand * UNIDO Developing Country | 7 | |
Turkey Developing Country | 11 | |
Turkmenistan * Developing Country | 1 | |
Ukraine Developing Country | 10 | |
United Arab Emirates * Developing Country | 1 | |
United Kingdom | 22 | |
United States | 286 | |
Uzbekistan * Developing Country | 3 | |
Venezuela * Developing Country | 1 | |
Vietnam * UNIDO Developing Country | 3 | |
Zimbabwe * UNIDO Developing Country | 1 | |
Country Count = 66 | 594 | 606 |
Morocco's Jorf Lasfar plant, unit 3,
348 mWe, completed 2000.
http://www.power-technology.com/projects/jorf_lasfar/ http://www.mitsui.com/jp/en/release/2011/1193704_1803.html
Spain's Cadagua has been given a
letter of intent for award of a 60 million euro 75,800 m³/d desalination plant
in the Jorf Lasfar industrial complex in Morocco, 100km south of Casablanca.
Mid-term capacity goal is 222,200
________________________________________________________________
How many of the 1,200 supersizers are on navigable water?
Best way to find a supersized power plant: Google Earth to the CARMA coordinate
then cruise around for a river or large body of water to find the power plant.
When sorted by greatest CO2
emissions, a group of 30 produced 16 plants with coal barges, 14 without.
When sorted by ascending sorted random numbers, a group of 22 produced 12 plants
with coal barges, 10 without.
About 54% or about 650
_______________________________________________________________________
Fun with environmentalists.
When nuclear almost stopped Global Warming
_______________________________________________________________________
Someone caught the Australian coal industry red-handed cranking out anti-nuclear propaganda.
_______________________________________________________________________
This page is a terrible indictment of environmentalists. It's difficult to believe environmentalists are so stupid. The author, not by nature an investigative person, would be glad to share the data he found that led to the conclusions presented here with anyone interested in filling out the story with, hopefully, an outcome kinder to environmentalists.
_______________________________________________________________________